Keywords
Artificial Intelligence (AI), Machine Learning, Prediction, Data Analytics, Antimicrobial Prescription, Antibiotic Prescription, Anti-bacterial Prescription, Human Patients
Artificial Intelligence (AI), Machine Learning, Prediction, Data Analytics, Antimicrobial Prescription, Antibiotic Prescription, Anti-bacterial Prescription, Human Patients
The inappropriate and excessive use of antimicrobials reduce their efficacy in the treatment of bacterial infections1. Around 50% of antimicrobial use is not appropriate2–7, leading to a higher number of resistant pathogens8. The rise of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) has a noticeable impact on the morbidity, the mortality and health care cost9,10. If it is not tackled, 300 million people are estimated to die by 2050; AMR also impacts global GDP which is estimated to be reduced by 2% –3.5%, with a loss of between 60 to 100 trillion USD of economic output worldwide by 205011. In recent years, artificial intelligence (AI) has been adopted to support improved antimicrobial use and control AMR12,13. Examples of AI applications for this purpose include: prediction of AMR, diagnosis of antimicrobial resistant infections, prediction of the rational use of antimicrobials, identifying new antimicrobial peptides (AMPs), and exploring antimicrobial combinations. The AI methods used for these applications include: decision trees, support vector machines and artificial neural networks14. No reviews were identified on the use of AI methods to improve antimicrobial prescribing, and thus, the objective of this systematic review protocol is to determine whether the use of AI can improve antimicrobial prescribing in human patients.
This protocol is developed in line with “The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses Protocols (PRISMA-P)” guidelines15 and is registered in PROSPERO database (CRD42022329049) on 14 May 2022. The planned time to carry out this review is from April 2022 till October 2022.
The selected studies will be observational in nature, including cohort studies; and any study that examines the potential or actual use of AI, or machine learning, or data analytics to improve the antimicrobial prescriptions or use in human patients will be included in this review.
Types of participants: Participants will be human patients, and there will be no restrictions on age, gender, weight, or morbidities.
Settings: There will be no restriction on the setting of the studies.
Time: There will be no restriction on the time of publication of the studies included.
Language: There will be no restriction on the language of the articles included.
Data sources: A search strategy will be developed and applied to the following databases: ScienceDirect, Scopus, OVID, EMBASE, and Web of Science. Since part of the studies will have been carried out through a computer science lens, ACM Digital library, and IEEE Xplore databases will also be searched to collect as many relevant publications as possible.
Search strategy: The Search for keywords will be used across three different concepts: 1. Artificial Intelligence, 2. Prescriptions, 3. Population, and it will be customized to every database searched depending on its special filters. The detailed search strategy can be found in Extended data16.
Data extraction and management: Citations resulting from searching the different databases will be imported into EndNote, merged, and checked for duplicates. After removing duplicates, studies will be imported into an excel sheet, and the screening for titles and abstracts, for inclusion or exclusion, will be conducted.
Study selection: Two reviewers will independently screen the titles and abstracts to define eligible studies using the inclusion and exclusion criteria. When it is unclear whether a study is to be included or not, it will be included for the full text screening stage. If any reviews are identified among the studies, a manual search of their included studies will be conducted to ensure that all relevant studies are included. Conflicts between reviewers will be resolved through discussion till a consensus is reached, else a third reviewer will resolve the conflict. If there is missing information in a study, the author will be contacted for clarification. A PRISMA flow diagram will be used to keep track of the studies selection process.
Primary outcome: The relative reduction in antimicrobial prescriptions.
Secondary outcome: The relative reduction in re-consultation of patients, whether for infection recurrence or worsening condition (i.e.: symptoms).
For the internal validity of this review, Newcastle Ottawa Scale17 tool will be used to assess the risk of bias for the included studies. The domains of this tool are selection (“representativeness of the exposed cohort”, “selection of the non-exposed cohort”, “ascertainment of exposure”, and “demonstration that outcome of interest was not present at start of study”), comparability (“comparability of cohorts on the basis of the design or analysis”), and outcome (“assessment of outcome”, “was follow-up long enough for outcomes to occur”, “adequacy of follow up of cohorts”). The results of the risk of bias assessment will be used to inform the synthesis, the interpretation of the results as well as the discussion of findings for this review.
As most studies in this review will be observational, which may lead to heterogeneity of the data, a Random Effects Model will be used to obtain odds ratios with a 95% confidence interval. The I2 statistic will be calculated to studying the heterogeneity of the studies included. If any missing data is suspected in one or more studies during the review, the authors of the study will be contacted to clarify, and thus minimize the risk of bias during the meta-analysis. If sufficient data is available, this review will conduct subgroup analysis for population age groups.
This systematic review will add value by providing combined evidence of the use of AI to improve antimicrobial prescribing. It will explore advantages of using AI, with its effectiveness, efficiency, and optimized use of resources to improve antimicrobial prescribing and use. The “no-restriction” on language, time and setting will lead to inclusion of more studies, which will contribute to the generalizability and applicability of the findings, which in turn increases the external validity of the study. The observational nature of the studies included may lead to the presence of heterogeneity, which may affect the meta-analysis of the study. Some of the issues of using AI are associated with the amount of data used in a study; if the data is limited or partially unavailable, this may influence the quality of the study. As studies of poor quality may represent some difficulty in interpreting the findings, the inclusion of additional databases for searching will increase the number of relevant studies and reduce the impact of poor-quality studies. Finally, the findings of this review may be useful to design interventions to reduce antimicrobial prescribing and target both the public and antimicrobial prescribers. The results will be disseminated through a peer-reviewed publication, national and international scientific sessions.
This study will explore the advantages of AI in reducing antimicrobial prescribing, and the “no-restriction” on language, time and setting of the studies will lead to inclusion of more studies, and thus higher applicability of findings. On the other hand, the expected heterogeneity due to the observational nature of the studies may hinder meta-analysis, and the studies, with poor quality, will represent some difficulty in the interpretation of findings.
Figshare: Search Strategy - Artificial Intelligence to Improve Antimicrobial Prescribing- A Protocol for a Systematic Review. https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.20195723.v116
This project contains the following extended data:
- Search Strategy - Artificial Intelligence to Improve Antimicrobial Prescribing- A Protocol for a Systematic Review.docx
Data are available under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International license (CC-BY 4.0).
Figshare: PRISMA-P Checklist for “Artificial intelligence to improve antimicrobial prescribing: A protocol for a systematic review”. https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.2019557318
Data are available under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International license (CC-BY 4.0).
No ethical approval is required as no primary, personal or confidential data are collected in this study and all studies included are published.
Is the rationale for, and objectives of, the study clearly described?
Partly
Is the study design appropriate for the research question?
Yes
Are sufficient details of the methods provided to allow replication by others?
Partly
Are the datasets clearly presented in a useable and accessible format?
Not applicable
Competing Interests: No competing interests were disclosed.
Reviewer Expertise: Evidence Synthesis, experimental designs, polypharmacy and multimorbidity
Is the rationale for, and objectives of, the study clearly described?
Yes
Is the study design appropriate for the research question?
Yes
Are sufficient details of the methods provided to allow replication by others?
Partly
Are the datasets clearly presented in a useable and accessible format?
Not applicable
References
1. Gusenbauer M, Haddaway NR: Which academic search systems are suitable for systematic reviews or meta-analyses? Evaluating retrieval qualities of Google Scholar, PubMed, and 26 other resources.Res Synth Methods. 2020; 11 (2): 181-217 PubMed Abstract | Publisher Full TextCompeting Interests: No competing interests were disclosed.
Reviewer Expertise: Pharmacy.
Alongside their report, reviewers assign a status to the article:
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