Keywords
multimorbidity, multiple long-term conditions, clusters/patterns, all-cause mortality, quality of life, physical function
Multimorbidity, defined as the coexistence of two or more chronic health conditions in affected individuals, is recognised as a significant global public health concern.. While previous research has identified common multimorbidity clusters, the relationships of these clusters with health outcomes is not well understood.
To systematically retrieve, synthesise, and appraise the available evidence on the association between multimorbidity clusters and mortality, quality of life (QoL), and physical function.
We will conduct a systematic search of PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, Ebsco APA PsyInfo and CINAHL from inception until April 2025. Eligible studies will include observational studies (e.g. cohort, cross-sectional or case control) investigating the association between multimorbidity clusters and all-cause mortality, QoL, or physical function in community- dwelling adult populations. Multimorbidity clustering will be defined as the non-random co-occurrence of chronic health conditions. Outcomes of interest include all-cause mortality, health-related quality of life (QoL) (i.e., self-perceived health status), and physical function (e.g., functional independence/physical performance)). Risk of bias will be evaluated using appropriate tools, e.g., the risk of bias in observational studies of exposures (ROBINS-E) tool. Findings will be synthesised narratively, and if feasible, a meta-analysis will be performed. Given the anticipated heterogeneity of multimorbidity clusters, a robust methodological framework, informed by existing multimorbidity literature and stakeholder engagement, will be applied to facilitate comparability across studies.
This review will lay out and summarise current evidence on the association between different multimorbidity clusters and key health outcomes, including all-cause mortality, QoL, and physical function. It will address methodological approaches used to investigate the multimorbidity-health outcomes associations of interest and summarise current evidence. The findings will enhance our understanding of the unique burden imposed by different clusters of chronic conditions and may inform improvements in healthcare policy, the delivery of health services and patient care.
Prospero Registration Number: CRD420251014288 (Date of Registration: 25 Jun 2025 13:08 UTC version 1.0 published)
multimorbidity, multiple long-term conditions, clusters/patterns, all-cause mortality, quality of life, physical function
Multimorbidity, or “multiple long-term conditions”, defined as the coexistence of two or more chronic conditions in the same individual, is a significant global public health challenge, placing substantial burden on individuals and on healthcare systems1. The World Health Organization (WHO) defines chronic conditions as "health problems that require continuous management over a period of years or decades", highlighting the prolonged duration of these conditions and the necessity for ongoing care to manage symptoms, prevent complications, and enhance the quality of life (QoL) for individuals living with them2. It is estimated that 37% of adults worldwide are living with multimorbidity, with over 50% of individuals aged 60 years and over affected3. The high prevalence of multimorbidity in contemporary populations reflects advances in healthcare, population ageing, and adverse trends in risk factors for chronic disease, amongst other factors4. Multimorbidity is associated with a range of adverse health consequences, including greater disability, poorer QoL, polypharmacy, and higher mortality4. Individuals living with multimorbidity have complex healthcare needs, requiring increased healthcare utilisation and expenditure, which contributes to significant strain on healthcare systems worldwide5. Despite this, healthcare systems, clinical practice guidelines, and healthcare provider training have traditionally been designed to manage individual chronic conditions. This single-disease paradigm fails to address the multifaceted needs of individuals with multimorbidity and has proven inadequate in delivering effective patient-centred care6. As a result, individuals with multimorbidity often experience fragmented, uncoordinated, and sometimes conflicting care recommendations, exacerbating their treatment burden and leading to suboptimal health outcomes7.
Historically, multimorbidity has been measured simply by counting the number of chronic conditions an individual has, with equal weight assigned to each condition in the “multimorbidity score”8. While this approach is straightforward, it fails to account for how specific combinations are associated with overall health outcomes9. Previous systematic reviews have shown that multimorbidity is associated with poorer outcomes, including higher mortality risk and reduced QoL10,11. However, these studies primarily examined the association of number of conditions with outcomes, rather than exploring how specific combinations of conditions are associated with outcomes. In contrast, the concept of multimorbidity clustering focusses on the non-random co-occurrence of conditions12. While there is variability in the multimorbidity clustering literature, some consistent clusters (e.g. cardiometabolic clusters of diabetes, hypertension, and cardiovascular diseases) have been replicated, believed to have shared underlying biological pathways and risk factors13,14. Understanding which conditions tend to cluster together and examining the associations of these clusters with health outcomes has been identified as a key research priority15. Moreover, the associations of multimorbidity clusters on health outcomes are not uniform across all individuals. Increasingly, it is recognised that demographic factors such as age, gender, and socioeconomic status may modify the relationship between multimorbidity clusters and health outcomes16. A better understanding of the unique burden imposed by specific multimorbidity clusters on health outcomes is likely to provide new insights for developing more targeted and patient-centered healthcare delivery models that more effectively address the needs of individuals10. Furthermore, mortality and HRQoL have been identified as essential core outcomes for multimorbidity research17.
The aim of this review is to systematically retrieve, synthesise and appraise the available evidence quantifying the association between multimorbidity clusters and all-cause mortality, QoL, and physical function.
The reporting of this systematic review protocol is based on the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses Protocols (PRISMA-P) 2015 checklist)18 can be found in the online supplementary material (see Extended data)19. Furthermore, this review is registered with the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO) (registration number: CRD420251014288).
The PECOs (Population, Exposure, Comparison or Control, Outcomes and Study Design) framework was used to structure the eligibility criteria20 [Table 1].
We will include studies that include general population cohorts in which groups or subgroups of participants are comprised of adults aged 18 years and older. Studies must involve community-dwelling adults, defined as adults who are not living in a long-term care institution n21. If a relevant study is identified which includes individuals younger than 18, it will only be included if separate results are provided for those aged 18 and older. Included studies must investigate multimorbidity, defined as the co-occurrence of two or more chronic conditions within an individual, without focusing on any single index condition. We will exclude studies that focus solely on paediatric populations, individuals who are hospitalised, or those residing in long-term care institutions or in primary care settings. Studies that select participants based on a prespecified index condition (e.g., multimorbidity among individuals with diabetes) will be excluded, as these studies focus on comorbidity rather than multimorbidity. Comorbidity refers to any distinct additional health condition that exists or may occur in a patient with a specific index condition22. While individuals with comorbidity also have multimorbidity, the sample in these studies is unlikely to be representative of the broader population with multimorbidity, as the index condition and its frequently co-occurring conditions will be overrepresented23. Additionally, studies restricted to specific health-related contexts, such as homeless individuals, veterans, or pregnant people, will also be excluded due to limited generalisability. While individuals with comorbidity also have multimorbidity, the sample in these studies is unlikely to be representative of the broader population with multimorbidity, as the index condition and its frequently co-occurring conditions will be overrepresented23.
We will include studies that investigate multimorbidity, defined as the co-occurrence of multiple chronic conditions in an individual, without focusing on any single condition. There is considerable variability in how multimorbidity is defined and operationalised in the literature15. Multimorbidity is typically defined as the coexistence of two or more chronic conditions24. While there is a lack of a single, universally accepted definition for chronic disease25, common characteristics include the non-self-limiting nature of conditions, an association with persistent and recurring health problems, and a duration, measured in months and years rather than days and weeks26. Studies must employ data-driven methodology to identify and classify conditions into multimorbidity clusters or combinations. Examples of such methods include latent class analysis, hierarchical clustering, and network analysis. The statistical methods used to identify the clusters must be clearly described. Studies that apply non-data-driven approaches or analyses based solely on condition counts, without using statistical techniques to detect non-random disease associations, will be excluded. The distinction between comorbidity and multimorbidity is important, particularly concerning patient sampling23. Studies must include a minimum of ten distinct conditions in their clustering analyses, to be included. This threshold is based on previous recommended cut-offs, where studies typically include between ten and twelve conditions to enhance the interpretability and stability of the clusters13,27. Studies that include fewer than ten conditions in their clustering analyses will be excluded.
The outcomes of interest for this review include all-cause mortality, QoL (including health-related quality of life (HRQoL)), and physical function. QoL is multi-dimensional and relates to an individual’s general well-being status in relation to their value, environment, cultural and social context in which they live28 While HRQoL is the self-perceived health status of individuals and includes physical, mental, emotional, and social domains29. Measurement of physical functioning may range from self-report questionnaires (e.g., The Barthel Index, which measures functional disability in activities of daily living), to performance measures (e.g., The Berg Balance Scale, which assesses static balance and fall risk). Generic scales are preferred when measuring health outcomes in people with multiple conditions or comorbidities30. Therefore, condition-specific measures (i.e., outcomes designed for specific diagnostic groups or patient populations) will not be eligible for inclusion. To be eligible for inclusion, studies must report outcomes specifically according to multimorbidity clusters.
Original quantitative research reporting multimorbidity clusters and associated outcomes of interest will be eligible for inclusion (e.g., cohort, cross-sectional, and case-control study designs). Other study designs containing quantitative data e.g. mixed method research will be considered if the quantitative results can be extracted. Interventional studies (e.g. randomized control trials), qualitative research, literature reviews or meta-analyses, non-peer reviewed articles (e.g., editorials, commentaries, case studies, and opinion pieces), and studies available only in abstract form will be excluded. In cases, where abstracts or protocols are retrieved, attempts will be made to access full texts by contacting the authors. There will be no restrictions on articles by publication date or language of publication. Where articles not in English are retrieved, translation will be done using online translation software.
The following databases will be searched for primary research studies: Scopus (PubMed/Medline), Embase, Web of Science, Ebsco APA PsyInfo, and CINAHL. Additionally, grey literature searching will include screening the reference lists of relevant systematic reviews and/or meta-analyses previously published.
A comprehensive search strategy aimed at identifying relevant studies will be developed in conjunction with a medical librarian. Search terms will be based on the most relevant keywords, categories, and subheadings related to the research questions, including (1) multimorbidity, (2) clusters, (3) outcomes (all-cause mortality, QoL, HRQoL, and physical function), and (4) relevant study designs. Key words and index terms will also be identified from the title and abstract of relevant articles and will be used to inform the final search strategy. All search terms and keywords will be combined with the relevant medical subject headings (MeSH) for each of the databases using Boolean operators as appropriate. Following completion of the search, the reference lists of included articles will be used to identify additional relevant studies. An example of the search strategy for Ovid MEDLINE is shown in appendix 1.
Following the completion of the searches, the citations of identified studies will be imported to EndNote X9, and duplicates will be removed. Microsoft Excel and PICO Portal Software for Systematic Reviews will be used to perform screening. Two independent review authors (JC and RE or EOB) will independently screen titles and abstracts for eligibility according to the eligibility criteria outlined in Table 1. Following this, potentially eligible full texts will be independently evaluated by two review authors (JC and RE or EOB). Any disagreements will be resolved through discussion, and if consensus cannot be reached, a third review author (LOK) will act as an arbitrator.
A pre-defined data-extraction form will be used to extract data from included studies. Data extraction will be then performed by JC and reviewed by LOK. Conflicts will be resolved by consensus between two or more researchers if required. Extracted data will include study characteristics (e.g., author(s), year of publication, study design, sample size and study setting), population characteristics (e.g., age, sex, and other sociodemographic details), characteristics of multimorbidity clusters (e.g., specific conditions used to identify disease clusters, measures of disease severity, and statistical methodology used for identification of clusters), outcomes (e.g., all-cause mortality, QoL, , physical function), any relevant confounding factors considered, and risk of bias (methodological quality and risk of bias as determined by the relevant assessment tools).
Articles included in this review will be assessed for methodological quality independently by two reviewer authors (JC and LOK) using appropriate tools based on study design (e.g., risk of bias in observational studies of exposures (ROBINS-E) tool and the Joanna Briggs Institute (JBI) checklist for cross-sectional studies).
A ‘Summary of findings’ table will be used to draw conclusions about the certainty of the evidence. We will apply GRADE to assess the quality of the overall evidence for all outcomes31.
Review findings will be collated and summarised according to the review questions. The results of the literature search and study screening process will be presented in a PRISMA flow diagram, and extracted data will be presented in tabular form. Findings will initially be synthesised narratively. This will included structured summaries of study characteristics, multimorbidity cluster types, and direction/magnitude of associations with outcomes e.g. mortality. Findings will be grouped by study design (e.g., cross-sectional vs cohort), population type, and analytic method used for cluster identification. Significant heterogeneity is anticipated in terms of the multimorbidity clusters. We will consider methodological approaches used in previous reviews (e.g., grouping conditions by biological systems e.g., cardiovascular, metabolic, musculoskeletal, or using an a priori set of conditions) to ensure comparability across studies. If sufficient homogeneity exists across studies in terms of population, multimorbidity clusters, a meta-analysis will be conducted to estimate pooled effect sizes (e.g., hazard ratios, risk ratios, or odds ratios for mortality outcomes associated with multimorbidity clusters). For cohort studies, we will extract adjusted risk estimates with 95% confidence intervals. If studies are sufficiently similar in design and outcome measurement, we will use a random-effects model and assess heterogeneity using the I² statistic and Cochran’s Q test. Where appropriate, publication bias will be assessed using funnel plots and Egger’s test. Key stakeholder groups, including a patient advisory panel, will be involved to ensure the relevance of the findings.
Multimorbidity represents a global health challenge. Existing literature has established that the interplay between chronic conditions is not merely additive but often synergistic and may be associated with poorer health outcomes32. While previous studies have shown that multimorbidity is linked to negative health consequences, such as increased disability, diminished HRQoL, and higher mortality risk, the interaction effect between different co-occurring conditions remain underexplored. Moreover, a condition count fails to explore whether specific combinations of conditions are responsible for driving poorer health outcomes. This systematic review aims to provide a more nuanced understanding of how specific multimorbidity clusters are associated with patient outcomes. By delineating which clusters pose the greatest threats to health, this review may inform the development of integrated care pathways that address the specific needs of patients with complex health profiles.
As the study protocol is for a systematic review of existing literature, ethical approval is not required.
Upon completion of the review, the findings will be disseminated through multiple channels to ensure broad reach and impact:
Academic dissemination: The research findings will be presented at international scientific conferences to engage the academic community. Additionally, the results will be submitted for publication in a high-impact peer-reviewed journal relevant to the field, ensuring that the findings contribute to advancing knowledge in multimorbidity research.
Patient, Public, and Policy-oriented dissemination: To enhance the relevance and accessibility of the findings for patient, public, and policymaker audiences, a summary of key results will be developed in clear, non-technical language and disseminated to key stakeholder groups.
Open Science Framework:
This project contains the following extended data: Associations between Multimorbidity Clusters and All-Cause Mortality, Quality of Life and Physical Function: A Systematic Review Protocol: https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/6UESJ19
Provide sufficient details of any financial or non-financial competing interests to enable users to assess whether your comments might lead a reasonable person to question your impartiality. Consider the following examples, but note that this is not an exhaustive list:
Sign up for content alerts and receive a weekly or monthly email with all newly published articles
Register with HRB Open Research
Already registered? Sign in
Submission to HRB Open Research is open to all HRB grantholders or people working on a HRB-funded/co-funded grant on or since 1 January 2017. Sign up for information about developments, publishing and publications from HRB Open Research.
We'll keep you updated on any major new updates to HRB Open Research
The email address should be the one you originally registered with F1000.
You registered with F1000 via Google, so we cannot reset your password.
To sign in, please click here.
If you still need help with your Google account password, please click here.
You registered with F1000 via Facebook, so we cannot reset your password.
To sign in, please click here.
If you still need help with your Facebook account password, please click here.
If your email address is registered with us, we will email you instructions to reset your password.
If you think you should have received this email but it has not arrived, please check your spam filters and/or contact for further assistance.
Comments on this article Comments (0)